The Catalan regional elections are held, once again, without their own electoral regulations, which distorts the distribution of seats to the detriment of Barcelona, ​​which in a truly proportional system should elect about fifteen more seats than it does. Even so, polls show that in these elections the electoral advantage that the PSC achieved three years ago when, by barely fifty thousand votes, it became the most voted force in the regional parliament. His ability to capture votes in the two axes that articulate these elections (left-right and nationalism-constitutionalism) will take him, according to the survey published by this newspaper, above forty deputies, still very far from the 68 deputies that guarantee the absolute majority in the Ciudadela park. And it is that Salvador Illa Not only is he the most valued leader, but he is the one preferred by citizens as regional president, far ahead of the fugitive. Puigdemont.
One of the winners of the night could be PPwhich is recovering from the 2021 debacle and could multiply its current three seats by four or five, attracting support from the non-nationalist spectrumespecially from former Ciudadanos voters. Vox It resists better than in other regions and seems to consolidate its parliamentary group, remaining ahead of the Commons in the four constituencies. Finally, the other winner of the night could be the far-right nationalist Alianza Catalana, which could debut with up to three deputies in Parliament, none of them for the Barcelona constituency.
On the losing side is undoubtedly Esquerra Republicana, which has not been able to capitalize on the leadership provided by the presidency and, by remaining around 25 seats, would hand over the baton as the first nationalist force to Puigdemont’s list, a list with unwavering loyalty among its voters. The Commons also fail, dropping to six deputies, the same number as the extreme left identity of the CUP. Both groups continue to carelessly walk the path towards irrelevance that they began in 2017.
And one fact: the main problem for Catalans is housing, followed by the economic situation, issues that are barely being talked about in the campaign. In few territories like Catalonia, the bubble, not only of identity, in which its elites live is so noticeable…
