We have a Super Bowl rematch on “Monday Night Football” in Kansas City between the Eagles and Chiefs. It’s the most anticipated MNF game of the season, maybe on the entire NFL schedule.
The Chiefs (7-2) rebounded from an upset loss in Denver to beat the explosive Dolphins last week, while the Eagles (8-1) have won three straight since suffering their only defeat.
These teams are on the path to be the top seeds in their respective conferences yet again.
Could this be a preview of the Big Game in February?
Let’s take a look at some of the “Monday Night Football” DFS picks I am targeting on PrizePicks.
DeVonta Smith more than 57.5 receiving yards
Smith had a very nice performance against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, with seven receptions for 100 yards.
He has only topped this projection in three of the Eagles’ nine games this season, as fellow wideout A.J. Brown has been busy topping 100 yards nearly every week.
However, tight end Dallas Goedert suffered a fractured forearm in the Eagles’ Week 9 win over the Cowboys.
His absence should open up more targets for Smith, who has topped 57.5 receiving yards in four of the last five games he has played without Goedert.
The Eagles lack talent at the tight end position with Goedert sidelined, and there are no great candidates for targets behind Brown and Smith in the receiving corps.
With an increase in volume, Smith has an excellent chance to top 57.5 receiving yards.
Jalen Hurts more than 36.5 rushing yards
Hurts, who has been hampered by a knee injury since Philadelphia’s Week 7 game against the Dolphins, has not topped 36.5 rushing yards in any of the games since suffering that injury.
The Eagles had a bye in Week 10, which could not have come at a better time for the banged-up quarterback.
There have also been reports he has been practicing without a knee brace on the injured knee.
By all accounts, Hurts should be healthier for tonight’s game than he has been in quite some time.
In the two games prior to suffering the knee injury, Hurts beat this projection in both games, and he racked up 70 rushing yards when these teams met in the Super Bowl.
He has a great chance to beat this projection now that he is healthy.
Betting on the NFL?
Isiah Pacheco less than 48.5 rushing yards
The Chiefs throw the ball at one of the highest rates in the NFL, nearly 61% of the time on the season. That rate has climbed to above 65% over their last three games.
The Eagles have been extremely stingy on defense against the run, allowing just 66.3 yards per game on the ground – the best number in the league by more than 13 yards.
Opponents have had much more success through the air, as they have allowed the third-most passing yards per game.
Pacheco has beaten this projection in six of the nine games he has played this season, but this should be his toughest test of the year.
With the Chiefs’ willingness to throw the ball, combined with the way the Eagles play defense, Pacheco should stay under this projection.